Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.153346 0.181279 0.212474 0.249839 0.293323 0.342275 0.401505
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.108235 0.143710 0.187730 0.246134 0.321330 0.414607 0.538781
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084158 0.122507 0.174202 0.248466 0.351806 0.489805 0.687211
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066637 0.104872 0.160142 0.244999 0.370925 0.549577 0.820547
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.056578 0.095259 0.154639 0.251134 0.402358 0.628109 0.987701
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047288 0.084721 0.145436 0.249333 0.420382 0.687677 1.132472
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039301 0.074633 0.134962 0.243271 0.429871 0.733946 1.260535
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032802 0.065821 0.124993 0.236106 0.435809 0.774114 1.381925
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029317 0.061833 0.122699 0.241690 0.463774 0.853174 1.575889
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026132 0.057814 0.119639 0.245223 0.488128 0.928076 1.769889
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023154 0.053655 0.115618 0.246197 0.507538 0.995732 1.957293
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020833 0.050452 0.112962 0.249354 0.531238 1.073267 2.170106
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019098 0.048314 0.112334 0.256874 0.565126 1.174806 2.441345
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016456 0.043608 0.105522 0.250427 0.569818 1.220431 2.609485
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014781 0.040898 0.102692 0.252210 0.591916 1.302864 2.859153
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012984 0.037527 0.097796 0.248565 0.601642 1.360694 3.063971
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011990 0.036057 0.097180 0.254756 0.633956 1.469039 3.384890
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010689 0.033494 0.093462 0.252924 0.647530 1.538196 3.628236
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009353 0.030557 0.088315 0.246778 0.650071 1.583070 3.822399
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008146 0.027748 0.083044 0.239515 0.648914 1.619267 4.000324
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007588 0.026806 0.082701 0.245175 0.680592 1.734440 4.370102
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007007 0.025674 0.081646 0.248756 0.707371 1.840576 4.728491
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006399 0.024327 0.079755 0.249743 0.727476 1.932529 5.061503